tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3891434218564545511.post8782825238679747909..comments2024-03-28T19:56:42.305-05:00Comments on Alexander Pruss's Blog: An improvement on the objective tendency interpretation of probabilityAlexander R Prusshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05989277655934827117noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3891434218564545511.post-62812940380631276222020-11-30T08:53:47.868-06:002020-11-30T08:53:47.868-06:00Basically, the idea (and there are other ways of i...Basically, the idea (and there are other ways of implementing it) is that we start with objective tendency transitions and then see what other probabilistic claims can be derived.<br /><br />I should probably have specified a third condition: (c) if A is metaphysically necessary, then P(A)=1.Alexander R Prusshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05989277655934827117noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3891434218564545511.post-43308152034255956002020-11-29T20:10:03.975-06:002020-11-29T20:10:03.975-06:00Looks cool! I don't understand this, but I'...Looks cool! I don't understand this, but I'd love to see what Nevin Climenhaga thinks of it!JohnDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11610068881068162920noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3891434218564545511.post-49740969807085037752020-11-28T09:08:17.284-06:002020-11-28T09:08:17.284-06:00Ian:
Yeah, I corrected it.
I think the uncertain...Ian:<br /><br />Yeah, I corrected it.<br /><br />I think the uncertainty of ordinary dice is epistemic rather than chancy.Alexander R Prusshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05989277655934827117noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3891434218564545511.post-46420106767428196582020-11-28T00:23:55.895-06:002020-11-28T00:23:55.895-06:00I don’t understand (b). No doubt a blind spot. Can...I don’t understand (b). No doubt a blind spot. Can I read “… whenever the system in state D has objective causal tendency <i>q</i> to move to state C”, or something similar?<br /><br />On the substance: This sort of approach seems reasonable for quantum dice (i.e. for ‘simple’ states of a fundamentally indeterministic theory). But the chanciness of ordinary dice is different. The initial macrostate includes many microstates, some of which are almost certain to result in outcome ‘1’, some to result in ‘2’, etc.IanShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00111583711680190175noreply@blogger.com