Alexander Pruss's Blog

Suppose Alice has an inconsistent probabilistic assignment P A . Then, famously, there is a series of bets on single propositions (call thes...

Like me, you might have naively speculated that the more truth you know, the better you’ll do in gambling scenarios. But this is mistaken, a...

Suppose I initially assigned probability 0.5 to p and 0.5 to ~ p . Suppose p is in fact true, and my credence in p comes to be...

Suppose that a point z will be uniformly randomly chosen on the surface of a sphere S and you are asked to place bets as to which set ...