Alexander Pruss's Blog

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

More fun with conditional probabilities

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Let X and Y be independent random variables uniformly distributed over [0,1), and suppose our setup is symmetric between X and Y (i....

The simple religious perception argument against naturalism

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Every natural perceptual faculty we have sometimes functions veridically. We have a natural faculty of religious perception. Religi...
10 comments:
Tuesday, July 30, 2013

Uniform probabilities and Borel paradox

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Question 1: I uniformly choose a random number X from the interval [0,1] (all points from 0 to 1, inclusive). What is the conditional pro...
1 comment:
Sunday, July 28, 2013

Rationality, value and presentism

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If presentism is true, future events are not real. It is not rational to trade a real good event for a non-real event. It is ration...
5 comments:
Thursday, July 25, 2013

YouTube talk on sexual ethics

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Franciscan University of Steubenville has posted my talk on sexual ethics on YouTube . The talk gives some of the central ideas of my One B...
3 comments:
Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Culpability and reasons

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Suppose I have (both objectively and subjectively) a morally decisive reason R to refrain from doing A . But nonetheless I do A for s...
3 comments:
Monday, July 22, 2013

Fine-tuning and best-systems accounts of laws

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According to best-systems accounts of laws, the laws are the theorems of the best system correctly describing our world. The best syste...
5 comments:
Friday, July 19, 2013

Symmetry and Indifference

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Suppose we have some situation where either event A or event B occurred, but not both, and the two events are on par : our epist...
4 comments:
Thursday, July 18, 2013

Justification and subjective Bayesianism

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According to subjective Bayesianism, the only constraints on prior probabilities are that they be consistent and, for contingent e...
Wednesday, July 17, 2013

Mereological universalism and Platonism

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If mereological universalism holds, then for any predicate F that is satisfied by an object, there is a mereological sum of all the object...
Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Trees and limits of probabilistic reasoning

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Suppose you're one of the nodes of this infinite tree, cut off for the purposes of the diagram, but you have no information whatsoever o...
9 comments:
Saturday, July 13, 2013

YouTube talks on Principle of Sufficient Reason and on the measure problem in cosmology

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For most of the week I was at the Santa Cruz Philosophy of Cosmology institute. Thursday I gave a talk on the Principle of Sufficient Reaso...
8 comments:
Friday, July 12, 2013

Why prefer simple and elegant theories?

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Why should we prefer simple and elegant theories, the empirical evidence being equal? There are two standard answers (besides the...
2 comments:
Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Quasi-deterministic causation

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Say that: C quasi-deterministically causes E iff necessarily either C causes E or C does not cause anything. Now, quasi-d...
Tuesday, July 9, 2013

More on comparing zero probability sets

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There are two devices, A and B , each of which generates an independent uniformly distributed number between 0 and 1. You have a choice b...
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About Me

Alexander R Pruss
I am a philosopher at Baylor University. This blog, however, does not purport to express in any way the opinions of Baylor University. Amateur science and technology work should not be taken to be approved by Baylor University. Use all information at your own risk.
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