Alexander Pruss's Blog
Thursday, November 10, 2022
The interpersonal Satan's Apple
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Consider a moral interpersonal version of Satan’s Apple : infinitely many people independently choose whether to give a yummy apple to a (di...
4 comments:
More on discounting small probabilities
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In yesterday’s post , I argued that there is something problematic about the idea of discounting small probabilities, given that in a large ...
3 comments:
Wednesday, November 9, 2022
How to discount small probabilities
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A very intuitive solution to a variety of problems in infinite decision theory is that “for possibilities that have very small probabilities...
Tuesday, November 8, 2022
A principle about infinite sequences of decisions
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There are many paradoxes of infinite sequences of decisions where the sequence of individual decisions that maximize expected utility is un...
3 comments:
Wednesday, November 2, 2022
Must we accept free stuff?
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Suppose someone offers you, at no cost whatsoever, something of specified positive value. However small that value, it seems irrational to r...
3 comments:
Two different ways of non-instrumentally pursuing a good
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Suppose Alice is blind to the intrinsic value of friendship and Bob can see the intrinsic value of friendship. Bob then told Alice that frie...
Tuesday, November 1, 2022
Pursuing a thing for its own sake
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Suppose you pursue truth for its own sake. As we learn from Aristotle, it does not follow that you don’t pursue truth for the sake of someth...
7 comments:
Human worth and materialism
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A typical human being has much more intrinsic value than any 80 kg arrangement of atoms. If materialism is true, a typical human being is ...
25 comments:
Monday, October 31, 2022
Transsubstantiation and magnets
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On Thomistic accounts of transsubstantiation, the accidents of bread and wine continue to exist even when the substance no longer does (havi...
3 comments:
Friday, October 28, 2022
Does our ignorance always grow when we learn?
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Here is an odd thesis: Whenever you gain a true belief, you gain a false belief. This follows from: Whenever you gain a belief, you ga...
4 comments:
“Accuracy, probabilism and Bayesian update in infinite domains”
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The paper has just come out online in Synthese . Abstract: Scoring rules measure the accuracy or epistemic utility of a credence assignment...
1 comment:
Choices on a spectrum
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My usual story about how to reconcile libertarianism with the Principle of Sufficient Reason is that when we choose, we choose on the basis ...
Simplicity and gravity
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I like to illustrate the evidential force of simplicity by noting that for about two hundred years people justifiably believed that the forc...
Bayesian reasoning isn't our duty
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Ought implies can. Most people can’t do Bayesian reasoning correctly. So Bayesian reasoning is not how they ought to reason. In particular, ...
5 comments:
Thursday, October 27, 2022
Probabilistic trolleys
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Suppose a trolley is heading towards five people, and you can redirect it towards one. But the trolley needs to go up a hill before it can r...
10 comments:
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