Alexander Pruss's Blog

This is really very obvious, and no doubt in the literature, but somehow hasn't occurred to me until now. Suppose that a fair coin is to...

An event E has divine-intention probability p if and only if E is part of a system S of events such that there is a probabilit...

Readers here may be interested in this post of mine on Prosblogion.

Bear with a simple and standard bit of mathematics: the mathematics may give us lessons about God and evolution, frequentism, single-cas...

Let's say that an infinite sequence of real-numbered observations is generated by independent runs of a random process. Suppose t...

Frequentism defines probabilities in terms of long-term frequencies of outcomes. This doesn't work very well with finite frequencie...

Suppose that the probability of a process Q being followed by A is given by the ratio of the number of times it is followed by ...