Alexander Pruss's Blog

Here’s a curious thing. The ideal Bayesian reasons about all contingent cases just as she reasons about lottery cases. If the reasoning does...

I am going to give some cases that support this thesis. If you can know that you won’t win the lottery, then in typical Gettier cases you ...

A perfectly rational agent who is not omniscient can find itself in lottery situations, i.e., situations where it is clear that there are m...

Every week, Curley sells a thousand tickets for a lottery, where the tickets are ten dollars each and the prize is fifty thousand dollars, e...

The argument in this post is based on a construction by Dubins (see Example 2.1 here ) that I've switched into an infinitesimal c...