Alexander Pruss's Blog

For the last couple of days I have been exploring what I like to call strongly open-minded accuracy scoring rules. It’s well known that ever...

Fix a proposition p , and let T ( r ) and F ( r ) be the utilities of assigning credence r to p when p is true and false, respectively. ...

An accuracy scoring rule is open-minded provided that the expected value of the score after a Bayesian update on a prospective observation ...

Suppose we have a probability space Ω with algebra F of events, and a distinguished subalgebra H of events on Ω . My interest here is in ...