Wednesday, July 16, 2025

Entailment and Open Future views

This is probably an old thing that has been discussed to death, but I only now noticed it. Suppose an open future view on which future contingents cannot have truth value. What happens to entailments? We want to say:

  1. That Jones will freely mow the lawn tomorrow entails that he will mow the lawn tomorrow

and to deny:

  1. That Jones will freely mow the lawn tomorrow entails that he will not mow the lawn tomorrow.

Now, a plausible view of entailment is that:

  1. p entails q if and only if it is impossible for p to be true while q is false.

But if future contingents cannot have truth value, then that Jones will freely mow the lawn tomorrow cannot be true, and hence by (3) it entails everything. In particular, both (1) and (2) will be true.

Presumably, the open futurist who believes future contingents cannot have truth value will give a different account of entailment, such as:

  1. p entails q if and only if there is no history in which p is true and q is false.

But what is a history? Here is a possible story. For a time t, let a t-possibility be a maximal set of propositions that could all be true together at t. Given the open future view we are exploring, a t-possibility will not include any propositions reporting contingent events after t. If t1 < t2, and A1 is a t1-possibility while A2 is a t2-possibility, we can say that A1 is included in A2 provided that for any proposition p in A1, the proposition that p was true at t1 is a member of A2. We can then say that a history h is a function that assigns a t-possibility h(t) to every time t such that h(t1) is included in h(t2) whenever t1 < t2.

(Technical note: Open theism implies a theory of tensed propositions, I assume. Thus if A is a t1-possibility, then it is not a t2-possibility if t2 ≠ t1, since any t-possibility will include the proposition that t is present.)

But what does it mean to say that a proposition p is true in a history h. Here is a plausible approach. Suppose t0 is the present time. Given a proposition p that says that s, let pt0 be the backdated proposition that at t0 it was such that s (with whatever shifts of tense are needed in s to make this grammatical). Then p is true in h provided that there is a time t1 > t0 such that pt0 is a member of h(t1). In other words, a proposition p is true in h provided that eventually h settles its truth value.

This works nicely for letting us affirm (1) and deny (2). In every history in which it becomes true that Jones will free mow the lawn it becomes true that Jones will mow the lawn, while this is not so if we replace the consequent with “Jones will not mow the lawn.” But what about statements that quantify over times? Consider:

  1. Jones will mow the lawn, and for every time t at which Jones will mow the lawn, there will be a time t′ that is more than a year after t such that Jones will freely mow the lawn at t.

This entails:

  1. Jones will mow the lawn, and for every time t at which Jones will mow the lawn, there will be a time t′ that is more than a year after t such that Jones will mow the lawn at t.

but does not entail:

  1. Jones will not mow the lawn.

But there is no history h at which (5) is true by the above account of truth-at-a-history given our open future view. For let t0 be the present and let p be the proposition expressed by (5). Then at any future time t and any history h, the proposition pt0 is not a member of h(t). For if it were a member of h(t), it would be affirming the existence of an infinite number of future free mowings, and such a proposition cannot be true on our open future view. Since there is no history h at which (5) is true, by (4) we have it that (5) entails both (6) and (7), which is the wrong result.

What if instead of saying that future contingents lack truth value, we say that they are all false? This requires a slight modification to the account of p being true at a history. Instead of saying that p is true at h provided that there is some future time t such that pt0 is in h(t), we need to say that there is some future time t such that pt0 is in h(t′) for all t′ ≥ t. This gives the right truth values for (1) and (2), but it also makes (7) true.

I think the above open futurist accounts of entailment work nicely for statements with a single unbounded quantifier over times, but once we get alternating quantifiers like in (5), where the second conjunct is of the form ttϕ, things break down.

Perhaps the open futurist just needs to be willing to bite the bullet and say that (5) entails (7)?

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