Tuesday, July 29, 2025

What if there is no tomorrow?

There are two parts of Aristotle’s theory that are hard to fit together.

First, we have Aristotle’s view of future contingents, on which

  1. It is neither true nor false that tomorrow there will be a sea battle

but, of course:

  1. It is true that tomorrow there will be a sea battle or no sea battle.

Of course, nothing rides on “tomorrow” in (1) and (2): any future metric interval of times will do. Thus:

  1. It is true that in 86,400,000 milliseconds there will be a sea battle or not.

(Here I adopt the convention that “in x units” denotes the interval of time corresponding to the displayed number of significant digits in x. Thus, “in 86,400,000 ms” means “at a time between 86,399,999.5 (inclusive) and 86,400,000.5 (exclusive) ms from now.”)

Second, we have Aristotle’s view of time, on which time is infinitely divisible but not infinitely divided. Times correspond to what one might call happenings, the beginnings and ends of processes of change. Now which happenings there will be, and when they will fall with respect to metric time (say, 3.74 seconds after some other happening), is presumably something that is, or can be, contingent.

In particular, in a world full of contingency and with slow-moving processes of change, it is contingent whether there will be a time in 86,400,000 ms. But (3) entails that there will be such a time, since if there is no such time, then it is not true that anything will be the case in 86,400,000 ms, since there will be no such time.

Thus, Aristotle cannot uphold (3) in a world full of contingency and slow processes. Hence, (3) cannot be a matter of temporal logic, and thus neither can (2) be, since logic doesn’t care about the difference between days and milliseconds.

If we want to make the point in our world, we would need units smaller than milliseconds. Maybe Planck times will work.

Objection: Suppose that no moment of time will occur in exactly x1 seconds, because x1 falls between all the endpoints of processes of change. But perhaps we can still say what is happening in x1 seconds. Thus, if there are x0 < x1 < x2 such that x0 seconds from now and x2 seconds from now (imagine all this paragraph being said in one moment!) are both real moments of time, we can say things about what will happen in x1 seconds. If I will be sitting in both x0 and x2 seconds, maybe I can say that I will be sitting in x1 seconds. Similarly, if Themistocles is leading a sea battle in 86,399,999 ms and is leading a sea battle in 86,400,001 ms, then we can say that he is leading a sea battle in 86,400,000 ms, even though there is no moment of time then. And if he won’t lead a sea battle in either 86,399,999 ms or in 86,400,000 ms, neither will he lead one in 86,400,000 ms.

Response: Yes, but (3) is supposed to be true as a matter of logic. And it’s logically possible that Themistocles leads a sea battle in 86,399,999 ms but not in 86,400,001 ms, in which case if there will be no moment in 86,400,400 ms, we cannot meaningfully say if he will be leading a sea battle then or not. So we cannot save (3) as a matter of logic.

A possible solution: Perhaps Aristotle should just replace (2) with:

  1. It is true that will be: no tomorrow or tomorrow a sea battle or tomorrow no sea battle.

I am a bit worried about the "will" attached to a “no tomorrow”. Maybe more on that later.

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