There are two parts of Aristotle’s theory that are hard to fit
together.
First, we have Aristotle’s view of future contingents, on which
- It is neither true nor false that tomorrow there will be a sea
battle
but, of course:
- It is true that tomorrow there will be a sea battle or no sea
battle.
Of course, nothing rides on “tomorrow” in (1) and (2): any future
metric interval of times will do. Thus:
- It is true that in 86,400,000 milliseconds there will be a sea
battle or not.
(Here I adopt the convention that “in x units” denotes the interval of
time corresponding to the displayed number of significant digits in
x. Thus, “in 86,400,000 ms”
means “at a time between 86,399,999.5 (inclusive) and 86,400,000.5
(exclusive) ms from now.”)
Second, we have Aristotle’s view of time, on which time is infinitely
divisible but not infinitely divided. Times correspond to what one might
call happenings, the beginnings and ends of processes of change. Now
which happenings there will be, and when they will fall with respect to
metric time (say, 3.74 seconds after some other happening), is
presumably something that is, or can be, contingent.
In particular, in a world full of contingency and with slow-moving
processes of change, it is contingent whether there will be a time in
86,400,000 ms. But (3) entails that there will be such a time, since if
there is no such time, then it is not true that anything will be the
case in 86,400,000 ms, since there will be no such time.
Thus, Aristotle cannot uphold (3) in a world full of contingency and
slow processes. Hence, (3) cannot be a matter of temporal logic, and
thus neither can (2) be, since logic doesn’t care about the difference
between days and milliseconds.
If we want to make the point in our world, we would need units
smaller than milliseconds. Maybe Planck times will work.
Objection: Suppose that no moment of time will occur
in exactly x1
seconds, because x1
falls between all the endpoints of processes of change. But perhaps we
can still say what is happening in x1 seconds. Thus, if
there are x0 < x1 < x2
such that x0
seconds from now and x2 seconds from now
(imagine all this paragraph being said in one moment!) are both real
moments of time, we can say things about what will happen in x1 seconds. If I will be
sitting in both x0
and x2 seconds,
maybe I can say that I will be sitting in x1 seconds. Similarly, if
Themistocles is leading a sea battle in 86,399,999 ms and is leading a
sea battle in 86,400,001 ms, then we can say that he is leading a sea
battle in 86,400,000 ms, even though there is no moment of time then.
And if he won’t lead a sea battle in either 86,399,999 ms or in
86,400,000 ms, neither will he lead one in 86,400,000 ms.
Response: Yes, but (3) is supposed to be true as a
matter of logic. And it’s logically possible that Themistocles leads a
sea battle in 86,399,999 ms but not in 86,400,001 ms, in which case if
there will be no moment in 86,400,000 ms, we cannot meaningfully say if
he will be leading a sea battle then or not. So we cannot save (3) as a
matter of logic.
A possible solution: Perhaps Aristotle should just
replace (2) with:
- It is true that will be: no tomorrow or tomorrow a sea battle or
tomorrow no sea battle.
I am a bit worried about the "will" attached to a “no tomorrow”. Maybe
more on that later.