Suppose I am an art graduate student. After careful study, a certain well-known painting of uncertain provenance looks very much to me like it is by Rembrandt. Kowalska is the world expert on Rembrandt. I have never heard what Kowalska thinks about this painting. But I reason thus: "This painting is almost certainly by Rembrandt. Kowalska is very reliable at identifying Rembrandt paintings and has no doubt thought about this one. Therefore, very likely, Kowalska thinks that the painting is by Rembrandt." I then tell people: "I have evidence that Kowalska thinks this painting is by Rembrandt."
What I say is true--the evidence for thinking that the painting is by Rembrandt combined with the evidence of Kowalska's reliability is evidence that Kowalska thinks the painting is by Rembrandt. But there is a perversity in what I say. (Interestingly, this perversity is a reversal of
this one.) By implicature, I am offering Kowalska's Rembrandt authority as significant evidence for the attribution of the pointing, while in fact all the evidence rests on my own authority. Kowalska's authority on matters of Rembrandt is epistemically otiose.
This kind of rhetorical move occurs in religious and moral discourse to various degrees. In its most egregious form, one reasons, consciously or not: "It is true that
p. Jesus knows the truth at least about matters of this sort. Therefore, if the subject came up, Jesus would say that
p." And so one says: "Jesus would say that
p." (I am grateful to my wife for mentioning this phenomenon to me.) Here it seems one is implicating that Jesus' theological or moral authority supports one's own view, but in fact all the evidential support for the view comes from one's initial reasons for believing that
p. One's reason for thinking that Jesus would say that
p is that one thinks that it is true that
p and one therefore thinks that Jesus would say it.
At the same time, there are contexts where this rhetorical move is legitimate, namely when the question is not primarily epistemic but motivational--when the point is not to convince someone that it is true that
p, but to motivate her to act accordingly. In this case, the imaginative exercise of visualizing Jesus saying that
p may be helpful. But when the question is primarily epistemic, there is a danger that one is cloaking one's own epistemic authority with that of Jesus.
Still, sometimes it is epistemically legitimate to appeal to what Jesus would say. This is when one has grounds for believing that Jesus would say that
p that go over and beyond one's other reasons for believing that it is true that
p. We can know about Jesus' character from Scripture and cautiously extrapolate what he would say about an issue. (Likewise, we might know that Kowalska judged paintings relevantly like this one to be by Rembrandt, and this gives us additional confidence that she thinks this one is Rembrandt's.) But we need to be very cautious with such counterfactual authority. For one of the things that we learn from the New Testament is that what Jesus would say on an issue is likely to surprise people on both sides of the issue. In particular, even if it is true that
p and Jesus knows that
p, Jesus might very well not answer in the affirmative if asked whether it is true that
p. He might, instead, question the motivations of the questioner or point to a deeper issue.
Here is a particularly unfortunate form of this epistemically otiose appeal to authority. One accepts
sola scriptura and one thinks that it is an important Christian doctrine that
p. So one concludes that Scripture somewhere says that
p. With time one might even forget that one's main reason for thinking that Scripture says that
p was that one oneself thought that
p, and then one can sincerely but vaguely (or perhaps precisely if eisegesis has occurred) cite Scripture as an authority that
p. This is, I think, a danger for adherents of
sola scriptura. (Whether this danger is much of a reason not to accept
sola scriptura, I don't know.)
But religious authority is not the only area for this. This also happens with science. One accepts the proposition that
p for some reason, good or bad. That proposition is within the purview of science, or so one thinks. So, one concludes that one day science will show that
p or that science will make disagreement with the claim that
p ridiculous, and one says this. Here, the appeal to a future scientific authority is epistemically otiose and has only rhetorical force, though one may well be implicating that it has more than rhetorical force.
Here is another interesting issue in the neighborhood. Suppose I know some philosophical, theological or scientific theory
T to be true, and I know that God believes all truths. Then I should be able to know that God believes
T (barring some special circumstances that make for a counterexample to closure). But it sounds presumptuous to say: "I know that God himself believes
T." I think the above considerations suggest why such a statement is inappropriate. It is inappropriate because in standard contexts to say that one knows what an expert believes implicates that one believes it in part because of the expert's opinion--one is covering oneself with the expert's mantle of authority. Still, inappropriateness is not the same as presumptuousness, and so the above still isn't a very good explanation of why "I know that God himself believes
T" sounds bad. Maybe a part of the explanation of the apparent presumptuousness is that by saying that one knows what God believes one is suggesting that one is one of God's intimates? (Still, surely no theist would balk at: "God believes that 2+2=4.")