God's forebeliefs are soft facts

The most commonly discussed argument against the compatibility of foreknowledge and free will is based on the “fixity of the past”—that nothing you can do can affect how things were, and hence nothing you can do can affect what God had believed.

However, everyone except the logical fatalist agrees that the “fixity of the past” does not apply to so-called “soft facts”. An example of a soft fact (an expansion of an example of Richard Gale) is to suppose that Alice drank a cup of poison, but hasn’t died yet. Alice would survive if Bob calls 911, but he’s not going to. Then it’s a fact that Alice drank a fatal cup, but this is a soft fact, and there is no difficulty in saying that Bob can make this fact not to have obtained. It is only the hard facts about the past that are supposed to be fixed.

Thus, much of the discussion has focused on the question of whether God’s past forebeliefs could be soft facts. In this post, I want to note that classical theists have very good reason to think that God’s past forebeliefs are soft facts.

Start with the following plausible principle:

1. If a fact F expressed by a past-tense statement is partly grounded in a fact G about the present or future, then F is a soft fact.

Of course, defining a fact “about the present or future” is just as difficult as defining a soft fact, but I am not trying to give a definition of a soft fact, just giving a sufficient condition for being one.

Now, on classical theism, God is simple and hence has no intrinsic accidental features. God’s beliefs about contingent realities then have to be partly constituted by those contingent realities (this is the extrinsic constitution model, and it is unavoidable). Such partial extrinsic constitution is a type of grounding. Thus, God’s belief in a fact is partly grounded in that fact.

Hence, God’s having believed in a fact about the present or future is partly grounded in that fact, and thus by (1) is a soft fact. And everyone except the logical fatalist agrees that soft facts are not subject to the fixity of the past, and hence soft facts about God’s forebeliefs do not threaten free will.